Global oil benchmark falls back below $90 a barrel as recession fears, dollar strength take toll

Oil futures traded lower Monday, after a third straight losing week, as investors await a Federal Reserve decision that’s expected to deliver another jumbo rate hike.

Price action
  • West Texas Intermediate crude for October delivery
    CL.1,
    -2.81%

    CL00,
    -2.83%

    CLV22,
    -2.81%

    fell $2.02, or 2.4%, to $83.09 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

  • November Brent crude
    BRN00,
    -2.44%

    BRNX22,
    -2.44%
    ,
    the global benchmark, was down $2, or 2.2%, at $89.35 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.

  • Back on Nymex, October gasoline
    RBV22,
    -2.37%

    fell 2.8% to $2.348 a gallon, while October heating oil
    HOV22,
    -0.72%

    dropped 1.2% to $3.135 a gallon.

  • October natural gas
    NGV22,
    -2.74%

    declined 3.8% to $7.467 per million British thermal units.

Market drivers

WTI fell 1.9% last week, while Brent dropped 1.6%, with analysts tying weakness to fears of a sharp global economic slowdown or recession as major central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, aggressively raise interest rates in a bid to bring down stubbornly high inflation.

The Fed is expected Wednesday to deliver another supersize 75 basis point, or 0.75 percentage point, rise to the fed-funds rate when it concludes a two-day policy meeting. Some investors and analysts say there’s the outside possibility of a 100-basis-point move.

Meanwhile, the Fed’s hawkish tone is driving the dollar higher. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index
DXY,
+0.20%
,
a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was up 0.1% on Monday but was trading near a 20-year high set last week.

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