With West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin’s surprise decision to support a compromise spending bill that devotes more than $360 billion to climate change efforts, consumers will now, for the first time, have a tax incentive toward used electric vehicles.
Newly built EVs also feature in the revived tax-credit proposals, which could drive up interest in brands such as Tesla
TSLA,
Ford
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and other automakers assembling in the U.S. that turn out alternatives to gas engines.
But consumers will have to balance excitement over these sweeteners — a conditional $4,000 tax credit for the purchase of used EVs and $7,500 for new ones — against scarce inventory and vital semiconductor chip shortages. Cars, trucks and SUVs, especially EVs, are now much less mechanical and more digital.
In a joint statement on Wednesday evening with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, Manchin, the Democrat of West Virginia, detailed a few specifics about his position shift, which revives more portions of a budget reconciliation bill that reportedly had been stripped of nearly all asks but spending on pharmaceuticals relief.
Read more: What’s in, and out, of Democrats’ $739 billion inflation-fighting package
The new draft spending bill is said to be much more modest than the $3.5 trillion version Democrats originally put forward. But it restores some of the sustainable energy, EV and broader environmental efforts that featured prominently in early versions, It also comes at a time when Americans, and many around the world, are struggling with high inflation, recession jitters and volatile energy prices
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The bill’s aim is to help lower U.S. carbon emissions by about 40% by the year 2030, shy of a Biden administration pledge for a more than 50% reduction by the end of the decade on the way to net-zero emissions by 2050. That pledge is in keeping with those of most U.S. economic rivals.
The bill would devote $369 billion to climate policies such as tax credits for solar panels, wind turbines and EVs, and to tackle the impact of pollution on low-income communities.
“By a wide margin, this legislation will be the greatest pro-climate legislation that has ever been passed by Congress,” Schumer added.
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President Biden needs the support of all 50 Democratic senators, along with Vice President Kamala Harris’s tiebreaking vote, to get the bill through the Senate and send it to the House, where it has a solid chance given the Democrats’ narrow majority.
Tax breaks for buying EVs have some requirements. New EVs will need to be built with minerals — such as high-demand lithium and cobalt — that are extracted or processed in a country with which the U.S. has a free trade agreement. And they must include a battery that features a large percentage of components that were manufactured or assembled in North America.
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The proposed deal also includes a cap on the suggested retail price of eligible vehicles of $55,000 for new cars and $80,000 for pickups and SUVs. Credits would be capped to an income level of $150,000 for a single filing taxpayer and $300,000 for joint filers for new vehicles, and at $75,000 and $150,000 for used cars.
Proposed legislation removes prior requirements that called for qualified vehicles to have solely plug-in electric drive motors. The new version leaves out a 200,000-vehicle-per-manufacturer cap that automakers fought against. That means Tesla, GM
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and Toyota
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which had all reached the cap, can lure buyers with this tax break yet again.
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BTIG analysts also said in a note that EV credits appear to cover hydrogen-powered vehicles as well. That source is seen as key to “greening” the cargo and ground-shipping markets.
EV industry participants say the inclusion of lower-priced used EVs is key to ramping up a transition from emissions-spewing traditional engines to zero-emission alternatives.
Charging company EVPassport’s co-founder Hooman Shahidi said access to widespread, quicker charging and access to the vehicles themselves are what will boost growth in this market. A deeper and incentivized used market can only help. That includes drivers for Uber
UBER,
and Lyft
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whose margins can be improved by a gently-used EV, Shahidi said.
In fact, more competition from used versus new offerings could benefit consumers with pressure on automakers to increase EV quality, which a recent J.D. Power report says has dropped in part because of the rush to meet market demand.
And Shahidi said as car buying shifts away from dealerships to direct purchases, that can likely boost EV access.
“Dealerships across the board are making more money than ever before just purely because of supply and demand,” he said in a recent interview with MarketWatch. “Direct buying is getting more enticing. I challenge Cars.com. I challenge CarGurus and True Car, make it easy for people to have access to that same experience with used cars, and specifically used EVs,” he said.
“It doesn’t cost a lot to compile a database of all the used cars that are for sale, that are electric, and give people the access,” he said.